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煤电改核电研究综述与展望

Review and Prospects for Converting Coal Plants to Nuclear Plants

  • 摘要:
    目的  煤炭在我国能源结构中长期占据主导地位。随着全球气候治理进程加速,全球主要经济体都朝着碳中和目标快速迈进。此外,近年来我国核电新核准以及在建的机组数量始终保持增长态势,在全球范围内位列第一,核电显著的减排效应使“煤电改核电”(Coal to Nuclear,C2N)有望成为新的传统能源替代场景。文章通过分析C2N的发展现状,对C2N的关键问题进行研究,探究C2N的典型场景,对C2N在我国的发展前景进行展望,旨在为未来我国大规模煤电厂转型发展利用提供新思路。
    方法  采用文献综述和比较分析的研究方法,梳理了C2N的发展情况,分析了国内外在C2N技术和实践方面的最新进展;同时,结合相关核电行业政策法规文件和煤电、核电厂部分技术参数对比,探讨了C2N的关键问题和应用场景。
    结果  研究表明C2N的发展在理论上可行,但必须与其他类型能源协同发展,共同服务于我国的能源发展战略。未来,需要基于现有研究,结合技术进步、我国中长期能源电力流向、区域经济发展水平、公众参与等因素,差异化地制定滨海和内陆C2N发展战略,在此基础上进一步开展选址和确定建设时序。
    结论  尽管面临诸多挑战,C2N能直接实现容量替代,减少煤电厂碳排放并显著降低核电建设成本;其应用在我国可有多种应用场景,能为东部沿海经济发达省份快速降碳提供一种思路;其推进需要与我国“双碳”整体推进、能源发展战略、原料供应安全和煤电机组退役统筹考虑,从沿海向内陆有序推进;其可行性将随着核电技术的发展特别是其固有安全性的提高而增强;其落地实施还需要政策的顶层设计支持,涉及国家经济发展和产业战略,调整周期较长;基于我国煤电规模和核电建设周期,其实施过程可能持续数十年。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective  Coal has long occupied a dominant position in China's energy system. With the acceleration of the global climate governance process, the major economies around the world are rapidly moving towards the goal of carbon neutrality. On the other hand, in recent years, the number of newly approved and under-construction nuclear power units in China has been consistently on the rise, ranking first globally. The significant emission reduction effect of nuclear power makes the transformation from coal-fired power to nuclear power (Coal to Nuclear, C2N) expected to become a new scenario for the replacement of traditional energy. This paper analyzes the current development status of Coal to Nuclear, conducts research on the key issues regarding this transformation, explores the typical scenarios of Coal to Nuclear, looks forward to the development prospects of this transformation in China, thus providing new ideas for the large-scale transformation and utilization of coal-fired power plants in China in the future.
    Method  The research methods of literature review and comparative analysis were adopted to sort out the development of C2N, and the latest progress in C2N technology and practice at home and abroad were analyzed. At the same time, combined with the comparison of relevant policy and regulatory documents of the nuclear power industry and some technical parameters of coal-fired power plants and nuclear power plants, the key issues and application scenarios of C2N were discussed.
    Result  This study shows that the development of C2N is theoretically feasible, but it must be developed in coordination with other types of energy to jointly serve China's energy development strategy. In the future, based on existing research and combined with factors such as technological progress, China's medium- and long-term energy and power flow, regional economic development level, and public participation, it is necessary to differentially formulate coastal and inland C2N development strategies, and further carry out site selection and determine the construction schedule on this basis.
    Conclusion  Despite facing many challenges, C2N can directly achieve capacity substitution, reduce carbon emissions from coal-fired power plants, and significantly reduce the construction cost of nuclear power, its application in China can have a variety of application scenarios, which can provide an idea for rapid carbon reduction in economically developed provinces along the eastern coast, its promotion needs to be considered in an overall manner with the overall promotion of China's "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" Goals, energy development strategy, raw material supply security, and the retirement of coal-fired power units, and be promoted in an orderly manner from the coast to the inland, its feasibility will be enhanced with the development of nuclear power technology, especially the improvement of its inherent safety, its implementation also requires top-level policy design support, involving national economic development and industrial strategies, with a long adjustment cycle, and based on the large scale of China's coal-fired power and the construction cycle of nuclear power, its implementation process may last for decades.

     

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