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考虑不确定性的光储直流配电网储能优化定容

Optimal Sizing of Energy Storage in Photovoltaic-Energy Storage DC Distribution Network Considering Uncertainty

  • 摘要:
    目的 为平衡光储直流配电网中多目标之间的关系,实现储能容量的最优调度,提出了一种考虑大规模接入负荷不确定性的光储直流配电网储能容量调度优化方法。
    方法 首先对大规模接入负荷的不确定性进行深入研究,构建了负荷不确定性的数学模型,为后续储能容量调度优化提供基础。计及该不确定性因素,构建光储直流配电网储能容量调度优化模型,其目标函数为光伏出力与负荷之间的期望差值最小化及日运行成本最小化,并分别构建对应的约束条件进行限制。通过多目标灰狼优化算法(Multi-Objective Grey Wolf Optimizer,MOGWO),在满足约束条件的前提下对构建的目标函数进行寻优,求解得到的最优解即为光储直流配电网储能容量的最优调度方案。将该优化算法与光储直流配电网储能容量调度优化中常用的粒子群优化算法(Particle Swarm Optimization,PSO)和随机森林算法(Random Forest,RF)的优化效果进行对比。
    结果 实验验证表明,相较于传统算法,该方法能够优化光伏能源的利用效率,通过改进策略有效减少能源损失,从而显著提升整体能源利用效率。且在不同光照强度条件下,配电网运行稳定性均能高于88%;在不同天气条件下,该方法依然能够实现高效稳定的调度。
    结论 由此证明,该方法能够根据实际运行需求灵活调整储能设备的充放电策略,实现光伏能源的高效利用和储能容量的优化配置,为光储直流配电网的优化运行提供了新思路。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective In order to balance the relationship between multiple objectives in the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network and realize the optimal scheduling of energy storage capacity, an optimal scheduling method for energy storage capacity of the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network considering the uncertainty of large-scale access load is proposed.
    Methods Firstly, the uncertainty of large-scale access load was deeply studied, and a mathematical model of load uncertainty was established to provide a basis for the subsequent optimal scheduling of energy storage capacity. Considering this uncertainty factor, an optimal scheduling model for energy storage capacity of the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network was constructed, whose objective functions were minimizing the expected difference between photovoltaic output and load and minimizing the daily operating cost, with corresponding constraint conditions established respectively. The multi-objective grey wolf optimizer (MOGWO) was used to optimize the constructed objective function under the condition of satisfying the constraints, and the obtained optimal solution was the optimal scheduling of energy storage capacity for the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network. The performance of the proposed algorithm was compared with that of the commonly used particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm and random forest (RF) algorithm in the optimal scheduling of energy storage capacity of the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network.
    Result Experimental verification shows that compared with traditional algorithms, the proposed method can optimize the utilization efficiency of photovoltaic energy, effectively reduce energy loss through improved strategies, and thus significantly improve the overall energy utilization efficiency. In addition, under different light intensities, the operation stability of the distribution network can be higher than 88%; even under different weather conditions, the proposed method can still achieve efficient and stable scheduling.
    Conclusion It is proved that the proposed method can flexibly adjust the charge-discharge strategy of energy storage equipment according to actual operation needs, realize the efficient utilization of photovoltaic energy and the optimal allocation of energy storage capacity, and provide a new idea for the optimal operation of the photovoltaic-energy storage DC distribution network.

     

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