高级检索

FY-4A地表太阳辐射产品在湖北的检验及订正

Applicability and Corrections of FY-4A Surface Solar Irradiance Products in Hubei Province

  • 摘要:
    目的 FY-4A地表太阳辐射(Surface Solar Irradiance,SSI)产品为时空高精度太阳辐射数据,对其进行检验和有效订正有助于准确评估太阳能资源,可助力“碳达峰”“碳中和”目标的实现。
    方法 以2019-2020年湖北省5个地面辐射观测站的资料为基准,与同期卫星反演总辐照度对比检验,采用线性回归和概率密度匹配两种方法对FY-4A的逐时总辐照度订正并比较效果。
    结果 研究表明:反演与观测的总辐照度显著相关,总辐照度的偏差约190 W/m2;平均偏差与总辐照度呈相反的时间分布,总辐照度越小,偏差越大;年变化中,1月偏差最大,8月最小,日变化中,8:00偏差最小,16:00最大;两种方法订正前后的相关系数均无显著变化,但四季的平均绝对误差下降40%~60%,平均偏差由未订正前的149.7~247.9 W/m2降为−30~20 W/m2
    结论 FY-4A地表太阳辐射产品的总辐照度与湖北省地面辐射观测值有较好的相关性,较大的偏差可通过订正显著减小,两种订正方法的订正效果在春、夏季相似,PDF方法在秋冬季订正效果更好。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The FY-4A surface solar irradiance (SSI) product provides high spatiotemporal-resolution solar radiation data. Validating and effectively correcting this product is critical for accurate solar energy resource assessment, supporting the achievement of the "carbon peaking" and "carbon neutrality" goals.
    Method Based on the data from five ground radiation observation stations in Hubei Province from 2019 to 2020, and compared with the satellite-derived total irradiance during the same period, two methods, namely linear regression and probability density function (PDF) matching, were employed to correct the hourly total irradiance of FY-4A and compare their effects.
    Result The results show that: FY-4A-derived irradiance was significantly correlated with the observed values, with a bias of about 190 W/m2. The mean bias showed a temporal distribution opposite to that of the total irradiance itself—that is, the smaller the total irradiance, the larger the bias. In the annual cycle, the bias was largest in January and smallest in August; in the diurnal cycle, the bias was smallest at 08:00 and largest at 16:00. For both correction methods, the correlation coefficients showed no significant change before and after correction, but the seasonal mean absolute error decreased by 40%–60%, and the mean bias was reduced from 149.7–247.9 W/m2 (before correction) to −30–20 W/m2 (after correction).
    Conclusion  FY-4A SSI exhibits strong correlation with ground observations in Hubei, and systematic biases can be substantially reduced through correction. The linear regression and probability density matching (PDF) methods demonstrated comparable effectiveness in correcting biases during spring and summer, while the PDF method outperformed in autumn and winter.

     

/

返回文章
返回