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基于多层次模糊模型的漂浮式基础适应性评价

Adaptability Evaluation of Floating Foundation Based on Multi-Level Fuzzy Model

  • 摘要:
    目的 针对深远海风电开发初期漂浮式基础选型的关键问题,文章旨在构建1套科学的特定海域环境漂浮式基础适应性评价体系。通过多维度量化分析,解决不同基础类型在水深、风浪流、地质等复杂条件下的选型难题,为深远海风电项目开发前期决策提供理论依据。
    方法 通过梳理单柱式、半潜式、驳船式、张力腿式4种典型漂浮式基础的结构特性与适用场景,构建包含环境适应性、技术稳定性及可实施性、经济适用性3个一级指标、11个二级指标及27个三级指标的评价体系。采用层次分析法(AHP)确定各指标权重,并引入模糊综合评价模型对定性指标进行定量化处理。以东海某海域(水深 40~60 m,年平均风速 10.2 m/s,极端波高 16 m)为例,开展多维度适应性评价实证研究。
    结果 评价表明:针对案例场址,不同基础类型的适应性评价结果差距明显。半潜式基础综合评价得分为 81.6 分,隶属“优”等级,其水动力性能稳定、施工工艺成熟,在环境适应性、技术稳定性及经济适用性方面表现最优。驳船式基础抗浪性能不足且运维成本较高,但对场址水深适应性良好,综合评价得分为 68.3 分,评价为“中”。张力腿式基础受限于锚固系统技术瓶颈,综合评价得分为 65.8 分,评价为“中”。单柱式基础因对场址水深适应性较差,综合评价得分为 48.4 分,评价为“差”。
    结论 文章构建的评价体系可有效量化漂浮式基础与特定海域的匹配度,为项目开发前期基础选型提供科学依据。未来需进一步结合动态载荷模拟、全寿命周期成本分析及大容量机组适配性研究,拓展多场址环境下的适应性验证,推动漂浮式风电技术向高效化、标准化发展。研究成果对我国深远海风电开发的科学决策与技术发展具有重要参考价值。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Addressing the critical issue of floating foundation type selection in the early stage of far-offshore wind power development, this study aims to establish a scientific evaluation system for assessing the adaptability of floating foundations to specific marine environments. Through multi-dimensional quantitative analysis, it seeks to address the challenges in selecting foundation types under complex conditions such as water depth, wind, waves, currents, and geology, providing a theoretical basis for pre-development decision-making in far-offshore wind projects.
    Method By reviewing the structural characteristics and applicable scenarios of four typical floating foundation types (spar, semi-submersible, barge and tension leg), an evaluation system was constructed comprising three first-level indicators (environmental adaptability, technical stability and implementability, economic applicability), eleven second-level indicators, and twenty seven third-level indicators. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to determine indicator weights, and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was introduced to quantify qualitative indicators. An empirical study on multi-dimensional adaptability evaluation was conducted for a specific sea area in the East China Sea (water depth: 40~60 m, average annual wind speed: 10.2 m/s, extreme wave height: 16 m).
    Result The evaluation results indicate significant differences in the adaptability of different foundation types for the case site. The semi-submersible foundation achieves a comprehensive score of 81.6, rated as "excellent"; Its hydrodynamic performance is stable, construction technology is mature, and it performes optimally in environmental adaptability, technical stability and economic applicability. The barge foundation scores 68.3 ("medium") due to insufficient wave resistance and higher operational costs, although it demonstrates good adaptability to the site's water depth. The tension leg foundation, limited by technical bottlenecks in its anchoring system scores 65.8 ("medium"). The spar foundation scores 48.4 ("poor"), primarily due to poor adaptability to the site's water depth.
    Conclusion The evaluation system develops in this study can effectively quantify the match between floating foundations and specific sea areas, providing a scientific basis for foundation type selection in the pre-development phase of projects. Future work should further incorporate dynamic load simulation, life-cycle cost analysis and adaptability studies for large-capacity turbines, expand adaptability verification across multiple sites, and promote the development of floating wind technology towards greater efficiency and standardization. The research findings hold significant reference value for the scientific decision-making and technological advancement of far-offshore wind power development in China.

     

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