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海上风电离网制氢技术经济性研究与发展建议

Techno-Economic Study and Development Recommendations for Offshore Wind-Powered Off-Grid Hydrogen Production

  • 摘要:
    目的 针对现有海上风电离网制氢研究存在海域场景单一性、测算框架差异性与规模验证缺失性问题,文章构建了统一技术经济分析框架,揭示了深远海与近海场景下多制氢模式的经济性差异。
    方法 面向典型500 MW级海上风电场,建立平准化制氢成本(LCOH)模型,集成对比深远海漂浮式与近海桩基式两种场景下的五种制氢模式,涵盖分布式制氢、海上平台集中式制氢及岸上集中式制氢,通过工程级参数验证五种制氢模式的经济性。
    结果 研究表明:近海桩基风电与岸上集中式制氢(模式五)LCOH最低,为33.92元/kg,较深远海漂浮式风电与分布式制氢(模式一)降低31.4%;深远海场景LCOH均超过40元/kg,主要受漂浮式风机高造价、长距离输氢管道以及设备和制氢基础设施运维费用高的影响;分布式制氢模式因设备重复配置和运维费用增加导致LCOH较同海域集中式高。敏感性分析显示,风机单位造价下降40%可使所有制氢模式LCOH降至40元/kg以内。
    结论 建议通过海上风机、电解槽等设备以及海上制氢平台、海底输氢管道等制氢设施降本增效、开发深远海本地消纳场景、改造海上基础设施实现规模效应、拓展多产业融合商业模式等路径提升经济性,为海上风电制氢商业化推广提供决策依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective This study addresses three critical limitations in existing research on offshore wind-powered off-grid hydrogen production: a singular focus on specific maritime scenarios, inconsistent economic evaluation frameworks, and a lack of validation for commercial-scale systems. A unified techno-economic analysis framework is constructed to reveal the economic disparities among various hydrogen production modes in both deep-sea and nearshore environments.
    Method Focusing on a typical 500 MW offshore wind farm, a levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) model was developed to systematically compare five hydrogen production configurations across two distinct scenarios: deep-sea floating and nearshore fixed-bottom wind farms. These configurations encompass distributed hydrogen production, centralized offshore platform electrolysis, and centralized onshore electrolysis. The economic viability of each mode was validated using engineering-grade parameters.
    Result The results demonstrate that nearshore fixed-bottom wind turbines coupled with centralized onshore electrolysis (Mode 5) achieve the lowest LCOH at 33.92 CNY/kg, which is 31.4% lower than that of deep-sea floating wind turbines with distributed hydrogen production (Mode 1). The LCOH for all deep-sea scenarios exceeds 40 CNY/kg, primarily due to the high capital cost of floating turbines, long-distance hydrogen pipelines, and elevated operation and maintenance expenses for offshore equipment and infrastructure. Within the same maritime zone, distributed production modes exhibit a 3.5%~7.8% higher LCOH than their centralized counterparts owing to equipment redundancy and complex maintenance logistics. Sensitivity analysis reveals that a 40% reduction in wind turbine capital expenditure could lower the LCOH of all configurations to below 40 CNY/kg.
    Conclusion Strategic pathways for commercialization include: (1) cost optimization of floating turbines, electrolyzers, and hydrogen infrastructure; (2) development of localized hydrogen consumption hubs in deep-sea areas to eliminate long-distance transportation; (3) retrofitting offshore oil/gas platforms for centralized hydrogen production to achieve scale economies; (4) multi-industry integration with marine aquaculture and desalination to diversify revenue streams. These findings provide actionable insights for advancing offshore wind-to-hydrogen projects from pilot demonstrations to commercial viability.

     

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