补贴滞后及电价降低对海上风电工程收益影响分析

Analysis on the Impact of Subsidy Payment Lag and Electricity Price Reduction on Offshore Wind Farm Project Benefit

摘要:
目的广东省海上风电即将迎来飞速发展，然而，财政补贴滞后及电价的不确定性将给海上风电项目经济效益带来影响。
方法选取了广东省4个海上风电典型项目，分别测算补贴滞后1年支付、滞后2年支付、滞后3年支付及电价降低对项目财务内部收益率的影响。
结果测算表明，财政补贴滞后及电价对项目的经济带来较大影响。
结论建议海上风电项目在前期决策阶段需增加补贴滞后及电价不确定性等敏感因素的分析。

Abstract:
Introduction Rapid development of offshore wind power is around the corner in Guangdong Province. However, the lag of financial subsidies and uncertainty of electricity prices will affect the economic benefits of offshore wind power projects.
Method Four typical offshore wind power projects in Guangdong Province were selected to calculate the impact of subsidy payment lag by one year, two years and three years on the financial internal rate of return (FIRR) of the projects.
Result The calculation result shows that the payment lag of financial subsidies and electricity price have a great impact on the economy of the projects.
Conclusion It is suggested that the analysis of sensitive factors such as subsidy payment lag and electricity price uncertainty should be additionally considered in the early decision-making stage of offshore wind power projects.